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Re: The MI poll

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Thu, 13 Sep 12 6:31 PM | 112 view(s)
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Msg. 10007 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 10005 by DigSpace)

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Hi dig,

the linear regression shows fairly robust support in Minnesota:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-minnesota-president-romney-vs-obama?gem

Nate Silver shows it as 96.9% Dem probability.

I've got that one in the blue column myself.

I see 10% undecided with O over 50%.

whoops. that's mn.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
The MI poll
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Thu, 13 Sep 12 6:13 PM
Msg. 10005 of 54959

while +10 Obo looks good for Blue, it is worth noting that nobody went up in that poll, hordes of folks just moved to undecided with more leaving Romney than leaving Obo. MI is not set in stone yet, but Obo's supporters do seem more committed. 16% undecided is a pretty big hunk of the pie.


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