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Re: Nate Silver prediction on Nov 6, Electoral

By: faul in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 08 Sep 12 8:24 PM | 61 view(s)
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Msg. 09873 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 09871 by Cactus Flower)
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Hi Alea.......

So in 2011 the Fed buys 61% of the debt issued that year according
to Erin's.....derived numbers.

Maybe you can post a relevant link that shows his numbers
are bogus........?

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The above is a reply to the following message:

Re: Nate Silver prediction on Nov 6, Electoral
By: Cactus Flower in ALEA
Sat, 08 Sep 12 7:30 PM

Msg. 09871 of 54959

Hi doma,

May I suggest you check Erin's derived numbers against the absolute ones provided by the Treasury.
http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt

and the GAO
http://www.gao.gov/special.pubs/longterm/debt/debtbasics.html#largefeddebt

Here's a list of total debt with history provided by the Whitehouse (see Table 7 on page 144of 36
http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/budget/fy2013/assets/hist.pdf

Here's a chart showing the accumulation of US debt by foreign holders over time.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Composition_of_U.S._Long-Term_Treasury_Debt_2005-2010.PNG

As a general rule of historical research, it really pays to check original sources rather than to base one's opinions on intermediaries.

Then you can make your argument using the actual numbers.

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