Muffin's convention bounce, where?
Updated 12:53 AM ET on Sept. 3
Nov. 6 Forecast Now-cast
Electoral vote 270 to win
Mitt Romney 230.2 -9.8 since Aug. 26
Barack Obama 307.8 +9.8 since Aug. 26
Chance of winning
Mitt Romney 25.5% -5.1 since Aug. 26
Barak Obama 74.5% +5.1 since Aug. 26
Popular vote
Mitt Romney 47.8% -0.4 since Aug. 26
Barak Obama 51.0% +0.3 since Aug. 26
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/

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