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Re: Nate Silver prediction on Nov 6, Electoral

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 01 Sep 12 7:27 PM | 70 view(s)
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Msg. 09742 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 09741 by DigSpace)

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hi dig,

i think what is interesting is that his swingometer is moving towards obama.

i expected a more effective rnc which would push obama down towards the 280s. in fact, it was either comical (clint) or dull (pretty much everyone else) and achieved almost nothing.

still can't get over the factual errors. they need a lot of luck to win from here.

also loved cnn's response to ryan - so determined were they to say he was bringing ideas to the table that they sought entirely to diminish the fact that those ideas sat on erroneous history. but in the absence of evidential support, no idea can be big.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Nate Silver prediction on Nov 6, Electoral
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Sat, 01 Sep 12 7:10 PM
Msg. 09741 of 54959

i would not want to be a candidate going to bed o-n election eve with Mr Silver predicting that i lose.

his 538 site does pretty well, all while of recognizing that from this far out it is still a crap shoot.

still he does a great job of debunking some crap and refining other crap.


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