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wise to be cautious

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Thu, 16 Aug 12 1:38 PM | 112 view(s)
Boardmark this board | The Trust Matrix
Msg. 09370 of 54959
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Re: so the DOD pilot wraps up in August...
By: Cactus Flower in WAVX DD | Recommend this post (0)
Thu, 16 Aug 12 6:38 AM | 1 view(s) Edit this post
Boardmark this board | WAVX DD Longs Board Msg. 13918 of 13918
(This msg. is a reply to 13887 by awk)
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If any of this is reliable, which is certainly in question for some of us, we can at last get a sense of bulk price and volume in the DoD.

Price per unit is $30 to $40. This is about half to a third the prices folks have previously estimated on these boards. (army figures)

At this price, the entire DoD opportunity represents a volume of 2.5-3.3m seats. Again, that is about a half to a third the volume folks have previously estimated on these boards. (DoD total value at army price per unit)

So this gives a range of multipliers for investor (as opposed to Wave) exuberance of 4-9 times the size of the market.

Wise for us all to be a wee bit more cautious in our speculation?

Or maybe the folks who argue that the harbour is safe will now take a different view.

- whatever SS's sins of delusional grandeur, it looks like the company to investor layer of exaggeration is considerably larger.




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