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Re: A good thing which may result from Ryan

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 12 Aug 12 10:35 PM | 108 view(s)
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Msg. 09285 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 09284 by DigSpace)

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that fact about the swing states was news to me. thx. explains everything.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: A good thing which may result from Ryan
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Sun, 12 Aug 12 10:33 PM
Msg. 09284 of 54959

Ryan might bring WI back into play (EC 10), and seems to clarify that Romney believes(-ed) that he is(was) losing.

It seems to me the chances are better than 50% that the gamble might seal FL for Obama, if it does its Daisies for Romney, but could doom Nelson if FL voters decide to split their ticket, which they are perfectly comfortable doing.

Romney is likely never going to overcome a particular difficulty ... the swings states are just not as bad off as the country:

(unemployment rate):

Ohio: 7.3
Michigan: 7.4
WI: 6.8
Virginia: 5.6
Pennsylvania 7.4
NH 5.1

versus a country at 8.2

Ryan's plan to rescind the New Deal is not likely to play as well with the independents in those states, and Florida (8.6) while on the table has its huge senior vote which is a tough sell for Ryan.

Bad things need to happen in the next few months to shake these facts for Romney.


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