Replies to Msg. #741807
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 Msg. #  Subject Posted by    Board    Date   
09297 Re: A good thing which may result from Ryan
   We live in one of the redest parts of blue state Illinois--the souther...
joe-taylor   ALEA   13 Aug 2012
2:46 AM
09289 Re: A good thing which may result from Ryan
   Chuck Todd of NBC stated, Florida, NH & PA are the oldest states, and...
clo   ALEA   12 Aug 2012
11:29 PM
09285 Re: A good thing which may result from Ryan
   that fact about the swing states was news to me. thx. explains everyth...
Cactus Flower   ALEA   12 Aug 2012
10:35 PM

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Re: A good thing which may result from Ryan

By: DigSpace in ALEA
Sun, 12 Aug 12 10:33 PM
Msg. 09284 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 09282 by Cactus Flower)
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Ryan might bring WI back into play (EC 10), and seems to clarify that Romney believes(-ed) that he is(was) losing.

It seems to me the chances are better than 50% that the gamble might seal FL for Obama, if it does its Daisies for Romney, but could doom Nelson if FL voters decide to split their ticket, which they are perfectly comfortable doing.

Romney is likely never going to overcome a particular difficulty ... the swings states are just not as bad off as the country:

(unemployment rate):

Ohio: 7.3
Michigan: 7.4
WI: 6.8
Virginia: 5.6
Pennsylvania 7.4
NH 5.1

versus a country at 8.2

Ryan's plan to rescind the New Deal is not likely to play as well with the independents in those states, and Florida (8.6) while on the table has its huge senior vote which is a tough sell for Ryan.

Bad things need to happen in the next few months to shake these facts for Romney.