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Re: A good thing which may result from Ryan

By: DigSpace in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 12 Aug 12 10:33 PM | 93 view(s)
Boardmark this board | The Trust Matrix 		Msg. 09284 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 09282 by Cactus Flower)
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Ryan might bring WI back into play (EC 10), and seems to clarify that Romney believes(-ed) that he is(was) losing.

It seems to me the chances are better than 50% that the gamble might seal FL for Obama, if it does its Daisies for Romney, but could doom Nelson if FL voters decide to split their ticket, which they are perfectly comfortable doing.

Romney is likely never going to overcome a particular difficulty ... the swings states are just not as bad off as the country:

(unemployment rate):

Ohio: 7.3
Michigan: 7.4
WI: 6.8
Virginia: 5.6
Pennsylvania 7.4
NH 5.1

versus a country at 8.2

Ryan's plan to rescind the New Deal is not likely to play as well with the independents in those states, and Florida (8.6) while on the table has its huge senior vote which is a tough sell for Ryan.

Bad things need to happen in the next few months to shake these facts for Romney.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: A good thing which may result from Ryan
By: Cactus Flower in ALEA
Sun, 12 Aug 12 10:03 PM 		Msg. 09282 of 54959

Interesting.

But I think partisan. VPs are minor figures and Ryan has never been up against a person with the charisma and smarts of Obama.

Ryan's budget was a disaster for the GOP. And now they have its author on the ticket. There's no escaping it.

I admit he comes across as sunny and sincere. But if you read the REALLY smart liberals, they think his economics is fraudulent. And beyond the smile and faux Reagan hairdo, economics is really the substance he brings to the party.

For myself, I think he's a candidate for 2016. For 2012, he's too wet behind the ears and he needs to become more of a traditional conservative, rather than an ideological one. Time gentles our philosophies. I agree he may prove a pretty strong candidate then if he can move a little leftwards.

Meanwhile, I think he is being groomed by the party as the successor.

At the same time, I think Romney is using him as a catalyst for his attempt to garner popularity amongst the far right portion of the electorate, just as Palin was for McCain - but without the Palin burden of extreme intellectual weakness. But in the end, if elected, Romney won't let Ryan run the show. If you vote for Ryan, you still get Romney.

I think Biden will remain on the ticket. He's likeable. But I think it is a missed opportunity to replace him with Obama's successor candidate.

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