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Re: Day Two - New leader **

By: DigSpace in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 30 Jul 12 11:22 PM | 46 view(s)
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Msg. 09082 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 09081 by Cactus Flower)

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Yours fails to report that China is more successful than its size warrants.

Those that China does not win can more or less be considered to land randomly on other countries as it is the sum of them that represent the non-China component.

So far there have been 32 golds awarded. China (20%) of the world would have to win 100% of the golds to "win" in your system.

Requiring 20% of the world to win 100% of the gold to score as top is bungled math.

If tens of thousands of gold medals were to be awarded then your system would start to approach something resembling the circumstance.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Day Two - New leader **
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Mon, 30 Jul 12 11:12 PM
Msg. 09081 of 54959

That's right. I wanted to avoid large countries seeming to be successful just because they are large. So I've removed population as a variable in calculating success. China needs to be 59 times as successful as Australia to keep pace. If they don't, Australia is doing better. That's the point.

Your measure is actually much the same as mine. I think you'll find that China still needs to be 59 times as successful to keep pace with Australia. It's share of the global population is 59 times larger than Australia's, however you slice it.

The difference is that in my list, 50 countries are currently unlisted. So China is actually in 10th position out of 60 (my random cut-off). The actual worst performer of the largest 60 countries is very likely to be India. China was the weakest amongst the gold medal-winning countries to the end of day two. 50 countries have no gold. I haven't listed them. Over the course of the Olympics, there will be more participants.


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