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Re: Day Two - New leader **

By: DigSpace in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 30 Jul 12 10:51 PM | 71 view(s)
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Msg. 09080 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 09079 by Cactus Flower)

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The vast difference in the denominators makes it unworkable for me. Almost any individual country overtakes China by winning a single gold.

China needs to take gold at a 59:1 ratio to keep pace with Australia.

Nothing normalizes the denominator.

A different approach is: percent of Golds taken versus percent of world population. On this AUS still does rather well, and China is observed to pull a respectable 146% of population weighted anticipated gold.

When assessing a population's recovery of a resource, the amount of the resource is critical. A stand alone scaler doesn't communicate much about the dynamic.

In this case China (about 19% of the world's people) is recovering about 28% of the available resource (Gold medals).

Where the others fall, particularly in lightly populated countries is statisical rubbish unitl the availble resource (Gold rewarded) becomes large enough for their puny population to be measured. Can't do stats on n=1.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Day Two - New leader
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Mon, 30 Jul 12 2:41 AM
Msg. 09079 of 54959

And it's the dear one. Congratulations North Korea!!!

1. North Korea 0.080
2. Australia 0.043
3. South Korea 0.040
4. Italy 0.032
5. France 0.031
6. South Africa 0.020
7. US 0.010
8. Russia 0.007
9. Brazil 0.005
10. China 0.004

Poor old China. Last on the ALEA Olympic gold medal per capita (m) table as usual. Hey at least they made the list. The next 50 of the top 60 did worse.


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