« ROUND Home | Email msg. | Reply to msg. | Post new | Board info. Previous | Home | Next

Re: 20 Years of Phony Growth 

By: Decomposed in ROUND | Recommend this post (1)
Tue, 19 Jun 12 8:00 PM | 51 view(s)
Boardmark this board | De's Test Board
Msg. 42104 of 45651
(This msg. is a reply to 42099 by Decomposed)

Jump:
Jump to board:
Jump to msg. #

re: "And many families got caught in the credit/housing bubble. When it blew up they got knocked back…actually losing wealth."

Bonner's observation is a good one. I actually made quite a bit of money from the housing bubble - selling houses partway through and at the very top of the California inflation. My awareness that it WAS a bubble kept me from capitalizing the way I might have. I know people who bought houses as the prices shot up. But then, I don't actually know ANYONE who made money on their purchase.

That's the problem. Those of us who recognized the housing bubble for what it was didn't buy any more homes. Those who didn't, either stayed away completely due to confusion or nervousness, or bought and then failed to take their gains.

Poor chumps...

The world is in a far larger bubble today... a CURRENCY bubble. Again, I see it for what it is and am mostly staying away. That might be a shame, but I don't have the kind of guts it takes to fully capitalize on what what I know.

I've always been cautious. I don't put my neck on the line unless it's a sure thing.

IF I DID, THOUGH... I would bet on low interest rates for many years to come, a soaring Dow, and far, FAR higher food prices.

I would also bet on war.




Avatar

Gold is $1,581/oz today. When it hits $2,000, it will be up 26.5%. Let's see how long that takes. - De 3/11/2013 - ANSWER: 7 Years, 5 Months




» You can also:
- - - - -
The above is a reply to the following message:
20 Years of Phony Growth
By: Decomposed
in ROUND
Tue, 19 Jun 12 7:48 PM
Msg. 42099 of 45651

June 14, 2012

The Disconnect Between Household Wealth and GDP Growth

by Bill Bonner
The Daily Reckoning


06/14/12 Baltimore, Maryland – Twenty years of going nowhere! Where are we, Hokohama?


Dear Reader…and anyone who has been paying attention…you already knew there was something wrong. The world’s leading economy, in the most dynamic, inventive period in human history, failed to make people a penny richer.

GDP went up. But real wages did not. In fact, people got nowhere financially – if they were lucky. And many families got caught in the credit/housing bubble. When it blew up they got knocked back…actually losing wealth.

We’ll give you the conclusion before we give you the facts: the “growth” in the last 20 years was largely phony. The wheels on the economy spun around faster and faster. The shopping malls were full. Houses were built on nearly every vacant lot. Wall Street cashed big checks. But, overall, it was an illusion. Compared to a real boom, it was a counterfeit. Nobody got anywhere.

Here’s the story from The New York Times:

Family Net Worth Drops to Level of Early ’90s, Fed Says

WASHINGTON – The recent economic crisis left the median American family in 2010 with no more wealth than in the early 1990s, erasing almost two decades of accumulated prosperity, the Federal Reserve said Monday.

A hypothetical family richer than half the nation’s families and poorer than the other half had a net worth of $77,300 in 2010, compared with $126,400 in 2007, the Fed said. The crash of housing prices directly accounted for three-quarters of the loss.

Families’ income also continued to decline, a trend that predated the crisis but accelerated over the same period. Median family income fell to $45,800 in 2010 from $49,600 in 2007. All figures were adjusted for inflation. 


Full article: http://dailyreckoning.com/the-disconnect-between-household-wealth-and-gdp-growth/


« ROUND Home | Email msg. | Reply to msg. | Post new | Board info. Previous | Home | Next