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Re: moose Re: http:// (Data) ...  

By: Rakitno in IDCC | Recommend this post (1)
Fri, 08 Jun 12 5:23 PM | 294 view(s)
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Msg. 45396 of 48237
(This msg. is a reply to 45394 by Data_Rox)

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I agree when we and when the company analyzes the success of their licensing program they would analyze based upon the effective rate as a performance guage. I guess where I have difficulty is in accepting that a licensee, who had an actual fixed rate agreed upon and at time for renewal wants to start pointing to anothers fixed agreeement and say I want THEIR effective rate and not the actual rate which they initially agreed upon and very likely (as Merritt confirmed) that the rates in a RIMM and LG are essentially the same. If they want the one-offs as noted, they should be provided as options unless you are saying that is bad practice.

So from a licensee's perspective, I just think the argument is moot to argue for anothers effective rate because again, unless two different licensees sold the exact same units (denominator) and paid the exact same amount (numerator) EVERY effective rate will be different in a fixed agreeement. Therefore it's hard for me to understand that someone can argue "non-discriminatory" on a fixed rate contract because again, they all will be different rates when you look, at the end of the day [drink], at the effective rate. It wasn't discriminatroy at the time of signing because they got the same baseline rate as everyone else. I mean, how would an LG choose which effective rate to use, the lowest effective rate in the patent program? the thrid lowest? ... That's the benefit you get out of a fixed contract for a licensee, sometimes you knock it out of the park, other times you whiff at a ball in the dirt for strike three.

So we (as analysts assessing performance) can care about the effective rate but it's absurd to me that a licensee like LG can point to an Apple agreement and say I want this effective rate, but why not Samsungs? It can be used as leverage in negotiations but in reality should be so absurd to even propose.

Given LG's action for arbitration. Given Huawei actions to get the EU to agree to a rate ... these guys acknowledge they owe us money but the question is how much and the probability is we are probably talking about tenths of a percent difference.

I agree, Good luck to us longs and God Bless.


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rak Re: moose Re: http:// (Data) ...
By: Data_Rox
in IDCC
Fri, 08 Jun 12 3:58 AM
Msg. 45394 of 48237

thank you for your contributions....you make several very good points, and in general I agree that all negotiations begin with a baseline. If we look at HTC and RIM in per unit licenses....they have (or had) similar volumes and device selling prices, and probably both have taken advantage of prepayment discounts and caps....and from both we recognize a similar "effective rate" of around $0.70 on a $300+ selling price). LG's average selling price was much lower...maybe 1/2 of that.

However on a broader basis the individual licensee terms, and the multiple types of licenses offered .... blurs how we (the company) actually monetizes the IP

I'll get to your question about why I use and care about an effective rate in a moment...

How many variables in IDCC's licenses have we seen through the years? I'm sure I'll forget some so chime in

per unit rate- sometimes capped, sometimes not. Prepayment discounts can also be taken. Renegotiations over time when a licensee takes us to arb (like NEC)

May be based on a percentage of wholesale selling price (net x,y,z), or could be a set amount per unit shipped

We've also had country or region restrictions or use.

May also vary based on the type of product (module, modem, feature phone, smartphone, tablet, others)

Have had Infrastructure covered in some agreements (like LG....don't know how that was calculated)

Fixed fee - in general using a jointly created forecasted revenue number of combined products using the technology....and then applying the baseline to it....and then taking consideration of payment schedule

Type of technology applied- 2G (and different rates of the variants) , 2G/3G (and different rates for different 3G), 2G/3G/4G, toss in 802 and variants...

Past usage - negotiated and negotiated

Paid up provisions - for certain technologies...and the associated patents wherever those patents end up (i.e. 2G patents also declared for 3G...3G for 4G...etc)

Hidden terms and agreements - all I have to do is think about Ericsson.....

So why do I... and others....look at an effective rate per unit? Because even with the mish mush of different agreements and terms that the company has signed using the above....the company still tracks their licensing prowess....in licensee units that are sold....and in the revenues IDCC recognizes from those agreements (that's what I care about). 80% of 2G...50% of 3G

About LG....we have a number that they paid for coverage through 2010. 5 years of licensed, 5 years of unlicensed, and fully paid up on 2G forever. Infrastructure was also a part of the deal. Somebody somewhere....has assigned a value to those components, and has weighed them in creating a new proposal that is applicable to what they are and are planning on selling....

I'm pleased that the company didn't wait long in bringing LG to the ITC...but it also shows that there was or is a significant chasm. I'm scared that Samsung will do the same....because they had a very similar deal...

OK....so Apple.....has that license really screwed up everything? I've always been an advocate that Infineon and the actual manufacturer would add to the direct Apple fixed fee and create some parity....but the company's lack of being able to bring the other components to the revenue table is frustrating...and all we...and others in the industry see...is the fixed portion (until arb is resolved).

bottom line....how does the company move forward....sign 50 or 60 little guys...get the big guys on board...become "partners" instead of toll collectors....and reverse our declining revenue trend in a market that increasingly IP aware? Consistency...I don't think we're there yet where companies can look at the spectrum of our licensees, and feel comfortable that everyone is paying nondiscriminatory rates. Too many one offs...

rambling and typing fast....best of luck to us all

all jmo



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