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Re: Quick est. of Q2 new billings required**

By: tkc in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 04 Jun 12 7:35 PM | 77 view(s)
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Msg. 08311 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 08308 by Cactus Flower)

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Gotcha CF. Also I agree Wave wouldn't leave a zero cash bal EOQ. Then taking Dig's $1.8M est for non cash expenses into consideration - plugging those into my quick est. then Wave would need somewhat less than $10 in new business to not need add'l ATM. Definitely, at this point in the Q it appears your lessened fear is well founded. Spaghetti?


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Quick est. of Q2 new billings required**
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Mon, 04 Jun 12 7:03 PM
Msg. 08308 of 54959

Hi tkc,

Just to clarify re use of ATM.

Not saying it will not be needed. Just that it was needed far less in May than I expected. Since a zero cash balance provides a lower bound for a debt-free company, and since the balances were already stretched in Q1, then that forces me to certain conclusions.

Income is covering the deficiency.

And/or expenses are being deferred.

Since we know more-or-less what Wave's expenses are, then we can make decent guesses on the income side.

Wave may find that June is softer than May, in which case the $1/2m or so I presume they required this month would not be adequate and extended use of the ATM would be necessary. I just think whatever they need is not going to be massively dilutive from here. Even if they sold 5m shares at 90 cents, that is nothing like the doom I was worried about. I had something like 20m shares at 30 cents as a possibility after the dismal Q1 results and assuming an equal or worse Q2.


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