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On Shills, Technocrats, Politicians and the Sinking Ship 

By: capt_nemo in ROUND | Recommend this post (1)
Sun, 03 Jun 12 9:34 AM | 38 view(s)
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Had to look this word up LOL,,,,,,,,,,,

Grexit is a slang term introduced in 2012 in world business trading. It is a portmanteau combining the words Greece and exit, referring to the possibility that Greece could have to leave the Eurozone, and thus would have to readopt their old currency, the drachma. The term was introduced by Citigroup's Chief Analysists Willem H. Buiter and Ebrahim Rahbari on the 6 February 2012.[1][


Submitted by Bruce Krasting on 06/02/2012 16:43 -0400

Three months ago I made fun of an ABC News report about the stock market. The occasion back then was the rise in the Dow Jones above 13,000. ABC has a panel of thirteen “experts.” All thirteen were in agreement; this time the move in stocks was the real deal. All thirteen experts were convinced that stocks had no where to go but up for the rest of the year. Of course they were all wrong.

These are the faces of ABC’s experts. If you watch TV, you may recognize them. I don’t think these folks are experts. They are shills. If they did not see problems looming a few months ago, they are either blind, or they were just lying.

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These very same experts (and most of the politicians in Europe) are selling a few other stories. I think they are as wrong today as they were back in February.

The big lie today is about Greece. Almost every story I read on this topic is the same. If Greece is forced to leave the Euro very very bad things will happen, including:

1) Serious hardship will befall the Greek economy. Unemployment will rise, the economy will fall.

2) Contagion will spread from Greece. Countries such as Spain and Italy will come under attack. Their ability to float new bonds will be impaired. The cost of debt will hinder their ability to grow; unemployment will rise.

3) If Greece goes into the toilet, there will be capital outflows from Southern Europe to Germany. These capital flows will undermine the banks and capital markets of countries in the EU.

4) If the Euro Zone is unstable, then the global stock markets will fall. As equity markets tank, the global economy will go back into recession (or worse). Therefore there is no option but to save Greece.

This is complete horse shit.

1) Greece has been in a recession for five years. There is not one chance in a hundred that it is going to get out of recession anytime in the next five years if it stays in the Euro. The kindest thing that the leaders in Europe could do would be to kick Greece out. Greece should never have been in the Euro in the first place. Mistakes were made. Mistakes are always expensive, but the worst mistake is not recognizing that a mistake was made.

2) Contagion? What is going on today if not contagion? Every country in Europe is already infected. The disease has now spread around the globe.

3) Capital flight will happen if Greece goes turtle? Over the past two months reported capital outflows from the PIIGS exceeds $200 billion. (I think it is much higher than that.) German and Swiss bond yields have gone negative the past few weeks. There are border guards surrounding Switzerland these days to keep hot money out.

4) The US stock market has lost a cool $1 trillion since the May 6 Greek election ($357 billion on Friday alone). Global stock markets have fallen another $1T in the same period. The book losses on other asset classes is enormous. If you add up the losses in the past three weeks, it easily exceeds $3T (5% of total world GDP).

The best thing the politicians could do for the voters they represent is to just let Greece go. Yes there would be costs, but the costs of pretending that there is a viable option to keep Greece in the Euro will be ten times the cost. If all of Greece’s debt were wiped out, the cost would be $250 billion. By my calculation, the world has already paid a price 12 times higher than that in just the past three weeks. If the game with Greece continues, the cost will be $10 trillion and a global depression. The pundits and pols are saying that the worst case is a Grexit. I say the worst case is another effort to keep Greece in.

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The blow up in Europe (and damn near every corner of the globe) the past month has led most observers to conclude that another round of Federal Reserve intervention is a just few weeks away. The pundits believe that Ben Bernanke will rise up and push some monetary buttons and all will be well again.

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more,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-06-02/shills-technocrats-politicians-and-sinking-ship




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Realist - Everybody in America is soft, and hates conflict. The cure for this, both in politics and social life, is the same -- hardihood. Give them raw truth.


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