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Re: The Granlibakken hypothesis.

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 02 Jun 12 8:36 PM | 81 view(s)
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Msg. 08266 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 08265 by DigSpace)

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Hi dig,

It's certainly possible I've identified the wrong contract. But I'm still content with the principle that Wave expects a major contract in mid-year. It is the piece that fits the jigsaw, in my view, and completes the picture.

And when I talk about a picture, whilst the trust matrix is the vision of the thing, for me the under-drawing has always been Feeney's cash flow and cash requirements.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: The Granlibakken hypothesis.
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Sat, 02 Jun 12 8:27 PM
Msg. 08265 of 54959

Not revs. Billings. Kinda sort of. I just don't have the time or inclination to fully extract.

On the 150-200k units, I just have no feeling that has a reality around it. If we are talking FBCB2, then the TOTAL devices for that entire effort as I read it is 12k units. I don't think that means 120k vehicles. I'm thinking 10k vehicles, and that syncs with the fact that SKS lowballs its value every chance he gets. And yes, I would figure $100 a seat at this volume and novelty. But I'm more in $1-2m not $10-20m (for that, specifically). Maybe SKS is actually doing poker face, that would ultimately explain a lot.

However, a potential example in point ... the Army thing has been PRed, it has been communicated, and on the public posting drive were suppose dot roll feb/mar ... give a little time for billing and so on, and one could see it seeping its way through in this time frame. But that would not be the $10-20m, that would be more like the $1-2m keeping the ATM mostly in the barn.

I don't quarrel with any of the arguments for sunny Augusts, but I cannot point to anything that separates them from an absence of a doughnut hole, it strike me as a 'because they act this way something must be', which, of course, might be true.

Who knows.



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