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My December 29th post - when Gold was 1536.20

By: Decomposed in ROUND | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 01 Jun 12 11:28 PM | 49 view(s)
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Msg. 41636 of 45651
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My December 29th post... and particularly the prediction at its end (see the message at the start of this thread)... looks like a pretty bad miss. HOWEVER, I haven't forgotten it and don't want you folks to forget it either.

As I said in January, my record with gold predictions hasn't been too good... but they're usually outlandish sounding predictions that, previously, I'd only missed by a few weeks. But a miss is a miss, and I've usually missed.

In the case of THIS prediction, gold would need to reach $2,000 by June 20th. I'll now admit that that's not going to happen. But perhaps by July 31st?

Any thoughts on the possibility of THAT on this day when gold has just leaped $75 in the only 7.5 hours???




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Gold is $1,581/oz today. When it hits $2,000, it will be up 26.5%. Let's see how long that takes. - De 3/11/2013 - ANSWER: 7 Years, 5 Months


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Gold 1536.20 -27.90 -1.78%
By: Decomposed
in ROUND
Thu, 29 Dec 11 8:30 PM
Msg. 37448 of 45651

re: "where to next? or what do you think is going to happen?"

Although I've read that gold could go as low as $1,450 without it actually constituting a breakdown of support (hence, I'm not nervous about $1,530), I don't think that's going to happen. I think this is likely an end-of-the-year selloff (to offset other losses), and that there will be a major recovery in the first week of January. Weird happens between December 20 and January 10 of MOST years. I've actually made a considerable amount of money over the years, trading on that. (And I bet Nemo has as well.)

But China is also cracking down on the trading of gold. That could be scaring gold bugs.

Ultimately, we know what will happen. The next major wave of counterfeiting will commence, and gold's price will hit new highs.

Nothing has changed. Nothing has been fixed. The slow-mo economic collapse is still underway... still gaining speed. One big difference from the past is that the Federal Reserve is now virtually out of bullets. Aside from words, there's not much more it can do that will cause even a short-term boost to the economy.

A reminder in case anyone needs it: Gold broke through the $1,000 barrier just a little more than two years ago. $1,500 today is pretty impressive.

I call $2,000/oz by Summer.


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