« ROUND Home | Email msg. | Reply to msg. | Post new | Board info. Previous | Home | Next

March Case Shiller Misses Expectations: Housing Set For Quadruple Dip

By: capt_nemo in ROUND | Recommend this post (0)
Tue, 29 May 12 5:27 PM | 39 view(s)
Boardmark this board | De's Test Board
Msg. 41480 of 45651
Jump:
Jump to board:
Jump to msg. #

There's Tyler's MSM rebuttal LOL...............

Uploaded Image


Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/29/2012 - 09:22 Detroit Housing Prices Las Vegas Rate of Change recovery

Following the now long-gone LTRO induced risk ramp through March, many of the C-grade economists out there predicted that housing would bottom in March (this time for real) and it would be smooth sailing from there. Alas, the just released March Case Shiller data puts this latest speculation very much in doubt (once again), following a miss of consensus expectations in the Top 20 Composite of a 0.20% increase, printing at half that, or 0.09%, and more importantly, a decline from the February rate of increase, which was 0.15%. The non-seasonally adjusted number declined by 0.03%, the 7th consecutive drop in a row. All this begs the question: did housing just quadruple dip, with a February local extreme in the Sequential rate of change. As the chart below shows, we had comparable peaks in the summer of 2009, in April 2010, and again in April 2011, following which the downward slide resumed every single time once the temporary benefits of monetary and fiscal easing subsided. Also, recall that March was the last month receiving benefits of a record warm winter: in effect a mini demand pull program. And now comes the hangover. Bottom line: based on a broad index, housing is about to decline once again, and make a total joke out of all those who, yet again, made "bold" annual housing bottom predictions.


Comments: 3
Reads: 235

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/march-case-shiller-misses-expectations-housing-set-quadruple-dip




Avatar

Realist - Everybody in America is soft, and hates conflict. The cure for this, both in politics and social life, is the same -- hardihood. Give them raw truth.




» You can also:
« ROUND Home | Email msg. | Reply to msg. | Post new | Board info. Previous | Home | Next