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Re: WTF??????????? OK DE, please splain to me what made everything just fine today?? LOL

By: capt_nemo in ROUND | Recommend this post (0)
Thu, 24 May 12 12:35 AM | 58 view(s)
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Msg. 41368 of 45651
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ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh Should have known it was more EU bullchit.LOL and a lil hint of QE to infinity helped as well...........

As Reality Recedes, Rumor Rampage Returns
Tyler Durden's picture
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/23/2012 16:21 -0400

Equity Markets
Momo
Morgan Stanley
Reality

Equities and broad risk-assets were generally in sync today until around 1430ET when between rumors of a Euro-wide deposit-guarantee 'scheme' - which we had already dismissed as impossible short-term, very unlikely medium-term, and not a long-term solution to redenomination/insolvency risk - and Kocherlakota's hints as NEW QE if the fiscal cliff arrives - US equity markets took off (as did Gold). S&P 500 e-mini futures (ES) pushed to more than 12pts rich to CONTEXT (our proxy for risk-assets based on TSYs, FX carry, credit, and commodities) on all that hope - stalling at yesterday's late-day heavy volume swing highs. Of course the high-beta momo monkeys were pounced on and AAPL as well as the major financials all popped notably - breaking above yesterday's closing VWAP. Today was a low average trade size day - the lowest in a week (but a relatively high volume day) - after a large average trade size day yesterday which smells like algos pushing to enable larger selling (especially as we expect a denial any moment from Europe). VIX plunged off its highs but closed only marginally down with ES closing very marginally higher on the day - so some context is required to avoid anchoring bias intraday and while TSY yields did pop and EUR rallied after equities got going, they remain notably divergent from that sur-reality. Gold and Silver surged on the QE/EU hopes as well but remain down 2% and 3% on the week.

Trying to gauge equity's performance relative to the rest of risk assets is tough so we use the CONTEXT model below - which stayed nicely in sync until the full-retard hope trade came back in the last 90 minutes or so of the day...

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Realist - Everybody in America is soft, and hates conflict. The cure for this, both in politics and social life, is the same -- hardihood. Give them raw truth.


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WTF??????????? OK DE, please splain to me what made everything just fine today?? LOL
By: capt_nemo
in ROUND
Thu, 24 May 12 12:21 AM
Msg. 41367 of 45651

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