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Re: National Mood a Drag on Obama's Re-Election Prospects

By: Decomposed in ROUND | Recommend this post (0)
Thu, 17 May 12 3:57 PM | 91 view(s)
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Msg. 41167 of 45651
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re: "If I were Obama or Bernanke (who also loses his job if Romney wins), I would be giving SERIOUS thought to initiating another bailout before the election."

meme,

You could be right to disagree with me on the above. But read the following. Not technically a "bailout" - but who are we trying to kid? It might as well be. 

Fed Signals Easing Option Amid Europe Risks to Growth

Several on FOMC Said Easing May Be Needed on Faltering

By Joshua Zumbrun - May 17, 2012 12:01 AM ET
bloomberg.com

The Federal Reserve signaled further monetary easing remains an option to protect the U.S. economy from the danger that lawmakers will fail to reach agreement on the budget or Europe’s debt woes worsen.

Several members of the Federal Open Market Committee said new actions could be necessary if the economy loses momentum or “downside risks to the forecast became great enough,” according to minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s April meeting released yesterday in Washington.

U.S. stocks declined yesterday as reports the European Central Bank will stop lending to some Greek banks overshadowed stronger-than-forecast data on U.S. housing and manufacturing. A focus on threats to the U.S. economy gives officials more scope to ease policy, said Michael Hanson, senior U.S. economist at Bank of America Corp. in New York.

“If you have very clear and potentially large downside risks, like the fiscal cliff and Europe’s debt crisis, you are going to have a little more of an easing bias in place,” said Hanson, who formerly worked in the Fed’s monetary affairs division.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) fell 0.4 percent to 1,324.80, the lowest since February. Treasury notes erased losses, leaving the yield on the 10-year Treasury note little changed at 1.76 percent.


More: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-17/several-on-fomc-said-easing-may-be-needed-on-faltering.html




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The above is a reply to the following message:
National Mood a Drag on Obama's Re-Election Prospects
By: Decomposed
in ROUND
Wed, 16 May 12 4:50 PM
Msg. 41135 of 45651

If I were Obama or Bernanke (who also loses his job if Romney wins), I would be giving SERIOUS thought to initiating another bailout before the election. Probably in August or September, so the resultant stock market jump will boost voters' spirits... but close enough to the election that the resultant price inflation will not yet have had time to LOWER those same spirits.

To justify such a bailout, there will first need to be some really bad news about economic growth.

Let's see if I'm right.
 

May 16, 2012

National Mood a Drag on Obama's Re-Election Prospects
U.S. satisfaction and economic ratings low compared with years incumbents won

by Lydia Saad
Gallup

PRINCETON, NJ -- Some six months before voters head to the polls to choose the next president of the United States, Gallup finds several indicators of the economic and political climate holding steady at levels that could be troublesome for President Barack Obama. According to Gallup polling in early May, Obama's approval rating is below 50%, Americans' satisfaction with the direction of the country is barely above 20%, and the economy remains a dominant concern.

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More specifically, in Gallup Daily tracking for the first full week of May, Obama's job approval rating averaged 47% and the Gallup Economic Confidence Index averaged -18. Separately, in a May 3-6 Gallup poll, 24% of Americans were satisfied with the way things are going in the country and 66% mentioned one of five economic issues as the "most important problem" facing the country.

All four indicators are higher today than last summer when public confidence in the president and the economy were at low points for this administration, but they have barely recovered to where they stood prior to the lows. In general, attitudes have returned to match or slightly exceed the already-suppressed levels Gallup found early in 2011, but have shown little to no further upward momentum so far in May.


More: http://www.gallup.com/poll/154679/National-Mood-Remains-Drag-Obama-Election-Prospects.aspx


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