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Re: A Socialist Return

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 06 May 12 11:53 PM | 61 view(s)
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Msg. 07645 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 07641 by DigSpace)

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If only we could get a little inflation! I'm with the folks who are concerned by the effects of the zero lower bound. If inflation picks up, that's a problem we manage more easily. The problem we have is to generate growth. The consumer of last resort is the government. If the economy overheats as a result, all well and good. At least a feverish patient has a pulse.

I agree with everything you have written here. In doma's universe, we are all the same person. So the fact that someone thinks you and I are the same is a mere detail.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
A Socialist Return
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Sun, 06 May 12 11:04 PM
Msg. 07641 of 54959

(this is rather disordered and not very thoroughly though out, but ...) ...

Given the role of the central alliance of Merkel and Sarkosy and their combined efforts to harmonize a euro strategy with the IMF and others, one largely basedon austerity and full commitment to maintaining the value of previously established debt instruments, is this whole thing now about to actually explode.

A growth and inflation solution is one that does and has worked in the past in some regions and times. Inflation devalues the debt, growth increases receipts, and over time the fact that one was leveraged 110% can move swiftly to 10% on a current cash-flow basis.

This threatens significantly the owners of debt instruments essentially enforcing a revaluation based on current income (to some extent). Who cares if I owe a billion dollars if a billion dollars is only worth a loaf of bread. Debt is effectively liquidated a the expense of the owners of that debt. The consequence of any such transition is to discourage saving, encourage consumption, and to subordinate the value and power of the debt instruments to a graveyard of insignificance.

The risk is in matters of investment, as stagnate assets suffer a withering erosion of near instant devaluation, the whole mucky muck becomes rather convoluted. I have always been one of inflating debt away. But it is hard, very hard, on the owners of those instruments, and they are the folks of power.

Inflation in the extreme can fatally undermine the notion of formal currency, so obviously there are limits. Cooperation in even the most primitive ventures evaporates with the dissolution of some sort time value to formal currency.
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Hmmm.


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