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Re: Santorum may be right after all...

By: weco in FFFT | Recommend this post (0)
Wed, 14 Mar 12 2:01 AM | 36 view(s)
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Msg. 39645 of 65535
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Until there's a National voting standard, areas are so gerrymandered to make most polling useless, Silver's on top of it!


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Re: Santorum may be right after all...
By: clo
in FFFT
Wed, 14 Mar 12 1:57 AM
Msg. 39643 of 65535

OCU,

It will be interesting, from reports I've heard the polling in these states are VERY unreliable.
They predicted McCain with a wide margin, Huckabee won.
Found an article, this is a sliver.

Posted: 03/12/2012 8:25 am
The contradictory findings in Mississippi and Alabama highlight a lack of precision and stability and suggest that, collectively, pollsters are having trouble identifying the likely electorate. These two states have given pollsters trouble before. Nate Silver notes via Twitter that his compilation of past primary polls shows that pollster error in Alabama and Mississippi "has been about 50% higher than in other states."

Also, as blogger Harry Enten points out, three of the final four polls on the Alabama Republican primary in 2008 showed Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) leading former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee -- two polls showed McCain leading by fairly wide margins. Yet Huckabee defeated McCain, 41 to 37 percent.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/12/mississippi-alabama-polls-rick-santorum_n_1338265.html


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