Republican Enthusiasm Issue is Real
February 08, 2012
The paltry turnout in the Republican Presidential contests over the last week reflects what we've seen in our recent national polling:
Democrats are now more excited about voting this fall than Republicans are, reversing the enthusiasm gap that plagued the party in 2010.
Our last national survey for Daily Kos found that 58% of Democrats were 'very excited' about voting this fall, compared to 54% of Republicans. Six months ago the figures were 48% of Democrats 'very excited' and Republicans at the same 54%. Generally you would expect voters to get more excited as the election gets nearer. That trend is occurring on the Democratic side, but not for the GOP.
Going deeper inside the numbers:
-25% of conservatives are not at all excited to vote this fall, compared to only 16% of liberals.
-The percentage of Tea Party voters 'very excited' about voting in November has declined from 73% to 62% since late July.
-The single group of voters most enthused about turning this year are African Americans, 72% of whom say they're 'very excited' to cast their ballots.
Obviously all this could change once Republicans are settled on a nominee. But for now Barack Obama's prospects in both our state and national polling are looking the best they have in quite a long time.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/
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