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Re: LTRO � a New Acronym to Learn, and Important to Watch Tomorrow as Some Call it the Reason for Today�s Rally

By: Decomposed in ROUND | Recommend this post (0)
Wed, 21 Dec 11 5:17 PM | 50 view(s)
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Msg. 37277 of 45651
(This msg. is a reply to 37273 by capt_nemo)

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re: "While it solves nothing other than shuffling debt around…"

It DOES suggest that investors now believe there is little likelihood of an economic collapse in Spain in the coming year. They apparently believe the bonds pose little risk.

On the other hand, maybe it means that those buying Spanish debt are no ordinary investors. Foreign CBs, perhaps, that are more worried about the global side effects of a Spanish collapse than they are about the money they're now using to prop up the Spanish economy.

Hmmm. I wish I knew...




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Gold is $1,581/oz today. When it hits $2,000, it will be up 26.5%. Let's see how long that takes. - De 3/11/2013 - ANSWER: 7 Years, 5 Months




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The above is a reply to the following message:
LTRO – a New Acronym to Learn, and Important to Watch Tomorrow as Some Call it the Reason for Today’s Rally
By: capt_nemo
in ROUND
Wed, 21 Dec 11 7:25 AM
Msg. 37273 of 45651

By: Mark Hanna
Posted on: December 20, 2011 at 9:45 pm

Ahhhh…acronyms. The latest in the 4 year litany of acronyms is LTRO. And you better know what it means before tomorrow: Long Term Refinance Operation.

Remember how the market sold off hard a few weeks ago as Mr. Draghi of the ECB poo-poo’d (sp? lol) the speculator’s favorite object: quantitative easing (QE)? Well he did announce a plethora of secondary supports. The one catching people’s attention today is LTRO. Why? Spanish yields on short term debt plunged this morning.

On Tuesday, the Spanish Treasury sold 3.7 billion euros of 3-month paper for 1.735 percent, after an average yield of 5.11 percent in November, at a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.9, up from 2.8.
The 6-month bill sold for an average yield of 2.435 percent, down from 5.227 percent, with 1.92 billion euros sold and demand outstripping supply by a factor of 4.1, after 4.9 a month earlier.

Those are huge drops. I didn’t take much heed to it, but the reasoning behind why this might have happened could be another in a line of epic ‘kick the can moments’.

In ‘simple language’ that even I can understand it appears the 3 year funding facility the ECB announced a week and a half ago, could be the means for a new carry trade. Essentially borrow,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

http://marketmontage.com/2011/12/20/ltro-a-new-acronym-to-learn-and-important-to-watch-tomorrow-as-some-call-it-the-reason-for-todays-rally/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+marketmontage%2Fxyz+%28Market+Montage%29

Do you see the brilliance here? While it solves nothing other than shuffling debt around… it allows the ECB (which is currently not allowed to buy debt directly from governments) to be a middle man – they offer the money, the banks take it, and the banks send the junky debt back to the ECB as collateral. So in the end the Club Med debt finds its way back to the ECB’s balance sheet – just using a middle man. This has Geithner/Bernanke fingerprints all over it.


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