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EUR Shorts Surge, Back To 17 Month Highs As Bearish Sentiment Returns

By: capt_nemo in ROUND | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 03 Dec 11 5:16 AM | 44 view(s)
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Bullchit bailout didnt even last a week LOL, I gave it one day I WAS WRONG,,,,,,,,,,,,LOL


Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/02/2011 - 16:01 European Central Bank

So much for the short covering squeeze in the EUR. After eeking out some modest purchases in the EUR in the weeks leading up to November 8, with the interim peak in net sentiment hitting a transitory high of -54,257, the three weeks since then have seen yet another major spike in bearish EUR sentiment, and as of minutes ago the CFTC's COT report indicated that net non-commercial spec shorts surged to more than -100,000 for the first time since June 2010, or specifically -104,302. Granted this is as of November 29, so before the Fed's FX swap intervention. Yet considering that the EURUSD is rapidly filling the gap to Wednesday, we would not be surprised if all the Fed managed to do was to force a handful of specs to cover their short positions. Nonetheless, this does confirm that the EURUSD continues to act like a tightly wound coil, and any credible resolution to the European crisis will result in the biggest short covering squeeze in the EUR in years, sending both the currency and its S&P 500 derivative soaring. Now the question remains: does a credible resolution exist? The irony is that the only real solution is the ECB printing. Yet for the first time ever in monetary history that announcement of the the ECB's dilution of the European currency will actually send the currency surging, due to the technical unwind of the shorts overwhelming the fundamental weakness of the currency. Granted, it will be a transitory response, but who really can predict the long-run these days anyway?

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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/eur-shorts-surge-back-17-month-highs-bearish-sentiment-returns




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