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Re: Who's gaining from the republican debates...? ;))*

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 18 Nov 11 3:10 AM | 60 view(s)
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Msg. 06275 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 06272 by tkc)

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Hi tkc,

Huntsman isn't a Republican in the modern sense.

Romney cannot win. He has a maximum of 25%. After 4 or 5 changes in the leadership of the race, he is always the wallflower. That means the Republican voters are not going to choose him as their dance partner.

If folks were going to move his way - if he was one of the mobile voters' top five candidates - he would have been accruing votes as others lost theirs. But that hasn't happened.

The obvious conclusion. Like Ron Paul, he has a loyal following, but it is capped at a certain number. The rest of the Republican electorate have a strong antipathy to both of them.

That means Romney's toast, in my view. As the weakest candidates leave the field, they will go to whoever Tea Party people like at that moment. The survivor amongst that group wins.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Who's gaining from the republican debates...? ;))
By: tkc
in ALEA
Fri, 18 Nov 11 2:48 AM
Msg. 06272 of 54959

Clo, I've long thought Huntsman was the best of the bunch and I agree he doesn't stand a chance. It's gotta end up being Romney. The general election will be determined by how effective the GOP is on blaming the Pres. for our current economic mess. And they are really good at revisionism and "point" messaging.


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