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Re: Q3

By: tfwg in IDCC | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 24 Oct 11 5:08 PM | 272 view(s)
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Msg. 43338 of 48237
(This msg. is a reply to 43337 by zzfan)

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z, without LG, or any new revenue streams, I don't see how they can beat expectations. On the bright side, if CAFC would put things right, we wouldn't care about the quarter or the strategic initative...

I realize that's a downer outlook, but being an IDCC long has turned into an 'anti-tea leave' curmdgeon.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2016563889_microsoftpatent23.html

from icry:
There's no arguing Microsoft is gaining a lot strategically from its patents: financially, legally and competitively.

Royalties from Android phones have become a fairly significant revenue stream.

Investment firm Goldman Sachs has estimated that, based on royalties of $3 to $6 per device, Microsoft will get about $444 million in fiscal year 2012 from Android-based device makers with whom it has negotiated agreements.

Some think that estimate may be low.

Microsoft is not disclosing how much it gets in royalties, but Smith, the company's attorney, has said $5 per device "seems like a fair price."


Apparantly Microsoft at first wanted $15 per unit:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/06/us-samsung-microsoft-idUSTRE7651DB20110706

If IDCC can get 50% of the current smartphone market of 440 million units @ $5 / unit, that's $1.1 Billion in revenue, or $515 million in profits after tax, or $11/share in earnings. That's just smartphones and not including the growth that lies ahead for smartphone sales and also higher rates for LTE/4G ...




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Q3
By: zzfan
in IDCC
Mon, 24 Oct 11 4:45 PM
Msg. 43337 of 48237

This is getting more and more confusing. Every BOD in America looks at strategic alternatives, but the companies still conduct earnings conference calls with respect to the past quarter's numbers. On the bright side, it makes no sense to announce a bad quarter early so it appears that the fellas are satisfied with the results. Perhaps a few nuggets have been uncovered through customer audits during this silent period.

MO
zzfan


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