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Re: Gold 1617.20 -29.80 -1.81% 

By: wilful in ROUND | Recommend this post (1)
Thu, 20 Oct 11 8:09 PM | 40 view(s)
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Msg. 35661 of 45651
(This msg. is a reply to 35660 by Decomposed)

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Yeah, I do Decomp.You may want to keep in mind that every asset bubble in history - has ultimately collapsed. The past 6 yr run-up (as your chart shows) is good enuf for me. I shorted gold in August - and am holding.

Of course - I could be wrong, and this thing may continue to inflate. But, it is the largest bubble ever in this asset.

W.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Gold 1617.20 -29.80 -1.81%
By: Decomposed
in ROUND
Thu, 20 Oct 11 7:36 PM
Msg. 35660 of 45651

re: "The bubble continues to diminish."

Do you really think so? People told me the same thing every year for the last 9 years. Not one of them was right.

Look at the chart below. Do you see a bubble burst? Or do you just see a summer aberration that has returned to long-term support?

I think it's obvious that gold experienced exuberant and irrational buying this year, and then returned to its long-term trading channel. It was a predictable and necessary selloff, and even prompted me to sell a bunch of mining stocks in August and September, pretty near the high. (Unfortunately, I didn't catch the whole selloff, buying back too soon.)

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