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Re: The rest of my post

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Tue, 30 Aug 11 7:18 AM | 62 view(s)
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Msg. 05729 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 05728 by Hari Selden)

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Hi Hari,

Dang. I don't like to be outwitted using random clusters, or fractal patterns and suchlike. That's just the kind of suggestion I'd be very pleased with if I'd made it. I daresay you have a smug grin on your face as I would in your shoes.

Yep. Definitely possible. Certainly unarguable with. But it makes almost any kind of sales trend analysis impossible.

Still think the return to an incremental expectation is the best bet, unless/until your cluster appears. I held onto my 8 until I felt it was untenable.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: The rest of my post
By: Hari Selden
in ALEA
Tue, 30 Aug 11 2:29 AM
Msg. 05728 of 54959

Hi Alea

I don't discount the latter option, either. It is likely that Wave's sales structure will undergo substantial change as the market develops. Were I in SKS' shoes, I would offer Wave's wares at a substatial discount to companies like GM and BP, then raise my prices as our position as the only option for managing SED's and TPM's becomes more solid.

Regarding the pace of sales, I have never believed that there would be only a slow, steady ramp up in sales numbers. Instead, early sales will be more granular, with bunches of sales appearing clumped closer together, like the GM, PWC, and BASF sequence. We are currently going through a quiet time for major deals, which I predict will be followed by another flurry, probably within the six weeks after the NSA conference. (Maybe BP will appear before that) An announcement of a mobile deal or of large scale government adoption will supercharge this process, of course.
Other than his reputation among a part of the Wavoid nation, SKS' past record is a non-issue, IMO. It hasn't kept him from being in the midst of the highest government decision making on Trusted Computing, or from making sales to multi-billion dollar companies, or from having Wave well positioned with strong patents, products, and talent in Trusted Computing.


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