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Re: Keynesian economics is not what many think

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 13 Aug 11 4:13 AM | 22 view(s)
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And this one explains just how much of the world economy has the same problem.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/17/how-much-of-the-world-is-in-a-liquidity-trap/

Companies are hoarding and not employing because unused money is increasing its value (ie deflation) relative to other assets. The Fed is trying to get people to think this isn't such a good idea. So they promise low interest rates, print fresh money (QE) etc.

We're in a trap created by excess responsibility.

Philosophically, this is great fun. Practically-speaking, it sucks. It would be much better if companies put their money to work instead of improving their balance sheets further.

Reading folks like ktc or listening to Republicans, the Fed's policy appears to be working a little bit.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Keynesian economics is not what many think
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Sat, 13 Aug 11 4:02 AM
Msg. 05609 of 54959

Hi tkc,

Yes. It takes a bit of time to get used to the argument. But you'll see Ben Bernanke has just followed Krugman's advice to try to appear to be irresponsible by committing to an extended period of low interest rates. What happened? The markets went up. In a normal inflationary economy, this would be a crazy thing to do. But this isn't an inflationary economy.

Essentially, the laws of the economic universe seem to work differently when interest rates approach zero (ie in a deflationary environment). Zero rates of interest are what he calls the zero bound. People's behaviour changes when money loses its value. They will tend to hold onto it. So you end up with a liquidity trap.

To get people to spend, you have to get them to think the value of money is unsound, so they'd better use it rather than sit on it.

Here's a piece he wrote a few years ago.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/15/macro-policy-in-a-liquidity-trap-wonkish/

It seems to me we live in a universe in which conditions and scale matter! Yet people always look for eternal laws that operate at every scale and in every circumstance.


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