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Re: Keynesian economics is not what many think

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 13 Aug 11 4:02 AM | 39 view(s)
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Msg. 05609 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 05608 by tkc)

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Hi tkc,

Yes. It takes a bit of time to get used to the argument. But you'll see Ben Bernanke has just followed Krugman's advice to try to appear to be irresponsible by committing to an extended period of low interest rates. What happened? The markets went up. In a normal inflationary economy, this would be a crazy thing to do. But this isn't an inflationary economy.

Essentially, the laws of the economic universe seem to work differently when interest rates approach zero (ie in a deflationary environment). Zero rates of interest are what he calls the zero bound. People's behaviour changes when money loses its value. They will tend to hold onto it. So you end up with a liquidity trap.

To get people to spend, you have to get them to think the value of money is unsound, so they'd better use it rather than sit on it.

Here's a piece he wrote a few years ago.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/15/macro-policy-in-a-liquidity-trap-wonkish/

It seems to me we live in a universe in which conditions and scale matter! Yet people always look for eternal laws that operate at every scale and in every circumstance.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Keynesian economics is not what many think
By: tkc
in ALEA
Sat, 13 Aug 11 3:26 AM
Msg. 05608 of 54959

Hi CF, please help me decipher this. "Indeed, not all recessions call for fiscal stimulus; it’s the special conditions of the liquidity trap that make it essential now — which is why the Bush deficits, run under non-liquidity trap conditions, say nothing at all about the desirability of deficits now." I'm having trouble w/ his use of double negatives. QE1 & 2 put in a bunch of liquidity, and interest rates are nearly at all time lows. Corps have greatly improved balance sheets. What are the "special conditions of the liquidity trap." I'm missing some jargon or something. Tia


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