Msg. 42055 of 48237 (This msg. is a reply to
42053 by
wireless_dude)
Jump:
the key to getting long rates to rise... is to get short term rates to rise....who knows what things will look like 5 years from now...how about an inverted yield curve w/ 2.5% thirty year rates....but for now its gonna remain a very steep[and getting steeper] yield curve...which is generally considered to be best for capital formation ....the key is to get the money where it needs to be [hint not the banks]....i actually have what i think is a very good and bold plan....that i have been trying to communicate w/ the HNIC....so far no return mail whatsoever!!! i wonder if i can just pick up the phone and call....but i dont want to talk to no flunkys..
Add me to that group... I tried to get cute and nibbled on some TBT the day the anemic debt ceiling deal was signed... luckily I got out of it after losing about 4% on the trade. The thesis seems so obvious, but since the rest of the world is on fire it's a very tricky situation... thus like you say it's a good idea to stay on the sidelines for now. It will be fascinating to see what the catalyst is to get long rates to rise!
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