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Monday's Reversal a Rare Occurrence

By: Decomposed in ROUND | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 01 Aug 11 8:15 PM | 22 view(s)
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Msg. 34168 of 45644
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Bespoke Investment Group runs the numbers on sharp reversals like Monday’s.

The Dow rallied more than 1% Monday on news of a debt deal, only to reverse to triple digit loses after the latest ISM numbers showed more slowing in the economy.

According to Bespoke:

…today is only the tenth time [since 1985] the S&P 500 has ever been up 1% or more in the first half hour of trading, only to give back all of that and more (0.5%) by 10:30 AM. 




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Gold is $1,581/oz today. When it hits $2,000, it will be up 26.5%. Let's see how long that takes. - De 3/11/2013 - ANSWER: 7 Years, 5 Months




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The above is a reply to the following message:
U.S. stock indexes down after data disappoints
By: Decomposed
in ROUND
Mon, 01 Aug 11 7:59 PM
Msg. 34166 of 45644

The Dow is down 130 in one of the largest intra-day turnabouts in years, and gold is now even.

It should be obvious to one and all that, if the nation is heading into recession, gold isn't the worst place to be. It's not the BEST, either. IMO - Surprise!! Cash probably is.

Look for a great deal of dollar strength from here... perhaps for the next 6-8 months.

BTW, all this about threats to the U.S. AAA rating... what NONSENSE! There is no threat of a default. Ratings will not be impacted by the debt crisis unless the President *elects* to not pay interest on the debt. (But ratings will be impacted eventually, probably when the debt achieves parity with the GDP. 


Aug. 1, 2011, 11:47 a.m. EDT

U.S. stock indexes down after data disappoints

By Kate Gibson, MarketWatch


NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks fell and Treasury prices gained on Monday as a disappointing gauge of manufacturing activity and concern about a possible U.S. downgrade overcame relief over a deal to hike the federal borrowing limit.

Lawmakers were expected to vote later in the day on the agreement that includes $2.4 trillion in spending cuts over 10 years.

“The investment community is understandably relieved that a deal has apparently been reached, but a few questions hang in the balance,” said Kevin Giddis, a fixed-income strategist at Morgan Keegan.

The agreement, seen as passing the Democratic-led Senate but facing a rougher road in the U.S. House of Representatives, had investors still fretting about the risk to the U.S. AAA sovereign debt rating.

Full article: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-indexes-rise-on-debt-deal-2011-08-01


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