Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/26/2011 - 09:12 Consumer Credit default Detroit Housing Market Housing Starts Las Vegas Real estate recovery
Remember those June calls after April's (yes, two month delayed) Case Shiller report that housing has hit a bottom? Scratch them. The Case Shiller 20 City composite for May (so why anyone even looks at this is beyond us) just came at -0.05% M/M on expectations of an unchanged print, with the previous revised from -0.09% to 0.44%. On a Year over Year basis the 20 City Composite dropped 4.51% on consensus of a -4.50% drop (the previous -3.96% was revised lower to -4.22%) - this was the biggest drop since November 2009. Washington DC was up 1.3% Y/Y (2.4% M/M) and was the only city to gain on a yearly basis. Minneapolis was down the most: 12%. That said there were some modest improvements in several of the regions: “We see some seasonal improvements with May’s data,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Indices. “This is a seasonal period of stronger demand for houses, so monthly price increases are to be expected and were seen in 16 of the 20 cities. The exceptions where prices fell were Detroit, Las Vegas and Tampa. However, 19 of 20 cities saw prices drop over the last 12 months. The concern is that much of the monthly gains are only seasonal." Good luck trying to extrapolate data away from seasonal adjustments: "May’s report showed unusually large revisions across some of the MSAs. In particular, Detroit, New York, Tampa and Washington DC all saw above normal revisions. Our sales pairs data indicate that these markets reported a lot more sales from prior months, which caused the revisions. The lag in reporting home sales in these markets has increased over the past few months. Also, when sales volumes...
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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/may-case-shiller-composite-misses-expectations
Realist - Everybody in America is soft, and hates conflict. The cure for this, both in politics and social life, is the same -- hardihood. Give them raw truth.
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