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Re: Constitutional issue

By: Hari Selden in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 16 Jul 11 8:06 PM | 41 view(s)
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Msg. 05458 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 05457 by Cactus Flower)

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Hi Alea

Hopefully the Republicans will only have that majority until 2012. They aren't really the problem. The problem that lies at the root of this issue is that people know very little about economics in this country (apparently) and are willing to follow whichever pundit sounds most convincing-and unfortunately there have been several successful pundits that have advocated austerity for quite some time.

Any political strategy in this country focuses on the 1/3 principle. A third of people are solid Republicans, another third are Democrats, and the last third are independents. In order to win an election, either your party must have a much larger turnout on election day than the other thirds, or you must convince the independents that your program is better than the other guys.

I dont think the Republicans are as willing as you seem to think to let us default. There are too many interests on Wall Street that will take massive losses if a default happens. Instead, what I think you are going to see is a potential split of the Tea Party from the mainstream Republicans. Once the Tea Partiers see that the Republicans aren't willing to cause a default, they will begin to fragment away, which is exactly what Boehner and the real establishment is afraid of.

Meanwhile, the only thing protecting us from the austerity fools is our constitution, which spreads power out over three branches precisely for situations like this. When wackos get control of one branch, they must still get the other branches in order to do their damage.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Constitutional issue
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Sat, 16 Jul 11 7:15 PM
Msg. 05457 of 54959

My guess - around 20-25% of the US populace is sympathetic to anti-government rhetoric. That 20-25% is enough to generate a majority amongst the roughly half of the population which votes Republican. The Republican Party has a majority in one of the branches of government.

It appears that a party with a majority in one of the branches of government and that is strictly anti-government is capable of destroying the operation of a constitution that is intended to deliver government to the populace. Their bargaining power derives from the fact they are willing to destroy the government's ability to govern. After all, that is their interest.

If the US trajectory towards almost no government continues, while reneging on the US' legitimate debts to creditors, it will be interesting to witness the catastrophe. Interesting in the Chinese meaning.

Of course, the folks who will have caused the problem will continue to blame someone other than themselves.



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