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Re: Interdigital Valuation (Post Nortel) 

By: DCLARKE in IDCC | Recommend this post (1)
Mon, 04 Jul 11 4:16 AM | 72 view(s)
Boardmark this board | InterDigital Communications
Msg. 41363 of 48237
(This msg. is a reply to 41362 by Rakitn0)

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Suffice it to say we are WAY undervalued at this point no matter how you calculate it. There will be some smart money taking positions soon just to see how this plays out. Much of this could be played out in the options market but either way we will trend up. Have a good 4th..

Dclarke




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Interdigital Valuation (Post Nortel)
By: Rakitn0
in IDCC
Mon, 04 Jul 11 12:36 AM
Msg. 41362 of 48237

That's the hard part ... what of the 4.5 billion relates to LTE ... We could find out later this week as more information is disclosed with or without any objections from the losing parties. IMO, most of it, likely, given how this auction was advertised. Backing out the RIM's tax loss share, networking patents, storage patents and others in my opinion would be immaterial so a guesstimate that 80% of 4.5 billion relates to LTE may be high, low and/or close to the actual.

If you want to have fun with numbers, a quick and dirty way is to go with the idea that $2.1 billion came from Ericsson, Sony, Microsoft and RIM for a paid-up LTE license from Apple. Treat that as cash flow in year-one. Determine what the percentage of those four represent in the future LTE market (less exact, assume the current market statistics will be the same as LTE), extrapolate the $2.1 billion over the unlicensed remainder (Samsung, LG, NEC etc.) as future cash flow in years 2-5 to be received from the remaining market which has not yet licensed. Net present value the cash flow to an approximate valuation. It will be more than $2 billion.


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