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Re: Hi-yo Silver, away!

By: Decomposed in ROUND | Recommend this post (0)
Tue, 10 May 11 7:47 PM | 57 view(s)
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Msg. 32896 of 45510
(This msg. is a reply to 32893 by fizzy)

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fizzy,

re: "Poor people can still buy silver but 2 gold coins already are approaching the total net worth of probably a majority of Americans..."

Based on that reasoning, silver shouldn't go up either - but GRAVEL should. You can get a lot of gravel for a dollar.

I'm only saying that somewhat tongue-in-cheek. I don't believe silver to be scarce. It just wasn't worth mining for when it was $3/oz. It wasn't worth the trouble.

At $100/oz or so, the world can pull all the silver it could ever want out of the ground. The silver deficit that currently exists WILL fill, setting a relatively low cap on silver's potential price.

Gold? No such luck. While the supply grows about 2 percent per year - and never seems able to do better than that regardless of gold's various prices, both lofty and low, over the years - the demand for gold is increasing exponentially. If, as I think they will, pension funds decide to get in on gold's bull run, the price will skyrocket. And if there is ever again a decision to back money with gold (I doubt that will happen in the U.S., but I think it's probable in some countries) the price will be off the charts.

I could see some countries backing their currencies with silver too, btw. I just don't think silver has the "ENORMOUSLY larger potential market" that you think it does.




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Gold is $1,581/oz today. When it hits $2,000, it will be up 26.5%. Let's see how long that takes. - De 3/11/2013 - ANSWER: 7 Years, 5 Months


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Hi-yo Silver, away!
By: fizzy
in ROUND
Tue, 10 May 11 7:13 PM
Msg. 32893 of 45510

De, thanks for your thoughts.

Consider, though, that with silver at 35 and gold at 1500 we have something more than a 40 fold price difference.

When silver rises $1 gold needs to rise $40. A $1 price increase wouldn't deter most people from making a purchase of something but a $40 increase would. Wasn't it established long ago, in stocks, that lower priced stocks encourage more investment -- isn't that why they split? I'm partially playing devil's advocate here but partially I think there is an ENORMOUSLY larger potential market for silver than for gold. Poor people can still buy silver but 2 gold coins already are approaching the total net worth of probably a majority of Americans -- and the total net savings of most of the rest.


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