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Sabato’s Crystal Ball

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Thu, 12 Mar 26 11:19 PM | 1 view(s)
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By J. Miles Coleman

Associate Editor, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE


— In Texas, Rep. Wesley Hunt’s (R, TX-3Cool presence in the GOP Senate primary likely hurt Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) on balance.

— However, Hunt’s performance was not distinctively strong anywhere in the state, as he even came in third place in the district he represents.

— Overall, Democrats outvoted Republicans in Texas by 3 points, making 2026 the first midterm cycle since 2002 where Democrats cast more ballots in Texas.

— In North Carolina, Democrats outvoted Republicans by an even larger 57%-43%, even as they have fallen behind both Unaffiliateds and Republicans in their share of the state’s overall voter registration.


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