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A different angle ... Re: Completely New Territory: Victor Davis Hanson Says Economists Who Blasted Tariffs Don’t Know As Much As They Claim 

By: monkeytrots in GRITZ | Recommend this post (1)
Sun, 27 Jul 25 10:22 PM | 9 view(s)
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Msg. 11160 of 11180
(This msg. is a reply to 11159 by Beldin)

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Just a simple question.

Is it really true that tariffs have been absorbed by price gouging exporters ?

VDH argues that inflation and prices have not gone up because the modest 10% tariffs have been absorbed by the exporters to the US.

Really ? The economists were wrong ?

Or is it simply that greatly increased OPEC production has cut the price of energy dramatically, worldwide ?

And costs have gone down due to lower energy prices.

And so has inflation, down due to lower energy prices.

Check for yourself. What was the price of crude oil today and what was it 6 months ago, 9 months ago, and a full year ago.

So were the economists wrong, or did they simply fail to predict a dramatic decrease in WORLD energy prices ?




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The above is a reply to the following message:
‘Completely New Territory’: Victor Davis Hanson Says Economists Who Blasted Tariffs Don’t Know As Much As They Claim
By: Beldin
in GRITZ
Sun, 27 Jul 25 8:44 PM
Msg. 11159 of 11180

http://dailycaller.com/2025/07/25/victor-davis-hanson-economists-trump-tariffs/

By Mariane Angela
The Daily Caller
July 25, 2025

Victor Davis Hanson appeared on Fox Business Friday and took aim at critics of the Trump administration’s trade policies, particularly those who predicted economic turmoil in the wake of tariff increases.

Corporate media repeatedly predicted price hikes from President Donald Trump’s tariffs, but those forecasts have proven wrong as inflation remained steady despite the 10% duties imposed after a 90-day pause. During an appearance on “Kudlow,” Hanson said that the very economists who opposed tariffs were missing key realities about the global economy.

“I think we’re in the new frontier, Larry. We’ve never been before. We don’t know at what rate of profit our foreign policy, our foreign partners are racking up these surpluses,” Hanson told host Larry Kudlow. “Apparently, if it’s a moderate 10 to 15% tariff, they can eat that without jacking up prices and pricing themselves out of this lucrative consumer market.”

Beyond tariffs, Hanson said other major policy shifts have economists scratching their heads.

{Embedded Video}

“There’s things that are going on in progress, Larry, that we’ve never seen before. We don’t know the economic ramifications when people in the administration say there may be $10 trillion to $15 trillion in new foreign investment,” Hanson added. “The entire market capitalization of Silicon Valley is only $9 trillion. That’s a lot. So we’re talking about numbers we’ve never really encountered, and that’s besides the big, beautiful bill, taxes on remittances worldwide, taxes on endowments.”

Hanson said that the ongoing shifts in U.S. policy are entering uncharted territory. He pointed to new developments that even the experts failed to foresee.

“So there’s all sorts of new developments. I don’t think the experts have expertise. We don’t know the ramifications economically when the Department of Interior or the EPA say they’re going to lessen the red tape from a two-year application process for a permit down to 21 days or what the ramifications are of a million self-deportations, many of whom are on public assistance,” Hanson said. “So I think we’re just in completely new territory that the economists thought they were familiar with, and they weren’t.”

On March 26, ABC News cited “experts” who warned that fresh tariffs would escalate the global trade war, raise consumer prices, and risk an economic slowdown. Despite these predictions, CNBC said on May 13 that inflation had eased in April, though it cautioned that prices could rise as the tariffs took full effect.

Inflation, however, continued to rise less than expected in May, reaching a four-year low. On June 20, CNN said that predictions of tariff-driven inflation had not come to fruition, pointing out that the tariff-induced price spike many economists feared had yet to materialize.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index both rose by just 0.1% in May, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Additionally, the U.S. economy exceeded expectations by adding 147,000 non-farm payroll jobs in June, surpassing the projected 106,000.


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