It's increasingly looking as though Iran isn't going to "pull a Syria" and collapse. Yes, it was surprised -- it thought it was protected during good faith negotiations with the US. But Iran VASTLY, VASTLY outsizes Israel, and it has a very large manufacturing and resource base, as well as critical support with Russia, China, and other BRICS+ countries. Israel is reportedly getting hit quite often. Maybe Iran is getting hit more, but Iran is vastly bigger, has vastly more natural resources, and has been fundamentally toughened by decades of *practice* with "sanctions". One FACT: a protracted "war of attrition" clearly favors Iran.
Questions:
1.0 What happens if Iran doesn't now surrender to Israel? Why would it now trust the United States to keep its word? Why would Iran -- or any country -- now trust the United States can keep Israel in check. What if Iran still refuses give up using its own uranium -- for even power generation? Can the case be made that if Iran DOESN'T now "surrender", its future safety now depends, more than ever, on making nuclear weapons and becoming even stronger?
2.0 Did Trump KNOW Israel was going to use him -- and his negotiations -- to deceive Iran? If yes, then how can anyone ever again trust Trump in "good faith" negotiations? If "no", then how can Trump reward Israel's deceit? How does it help Trump, or the US, to "Make Israel MASTER Again"?
3.0 Since US proxy war hasn't defeated Russia (arguably made it vastly stronger), and US hasn't defeated Houthis, despite promises from Trump. What is the argument that the US can easily defeat Iran -- or should even commit vast resources to supporting that, at this juncture?
4.0 How does Making Israel MASTER OF THE US Again, Make AMERICA Great again? I mean, make the ECONOMIC case, or any case, how - specifically - would a protracted war with Iran make the US more wealthy, unified, or "great"?
5.0 What PERCENT of Trump voters OPPOSE US involvement in ISRAELS "forever war"? Trump ran as the Peace Candidate. What percent of Trump support would desert him, or just give up enthusiastically supporting him, if he gets involved in the Israel-Iran war? Some polls say the MAJORITY of Trump voters don't want the US involved in fighting Iran.
6.0 As I said, Israel is a pip-squeak in terms of resources, territory, economy, and supporters in that region of the world (or arguably even the world as a whole). It is a pip-squeak with a lot of nuclear weapons. What happens if Israel gets desperate? How desperate does Israel get if the US doesn't continue to GIVE it most of its hundreds of billions of dollars in weapons and proxy support? How does it handle a toe-to-toe protracted war with Iran, keeping in mind it is very limited in internal resources?
Doesn't a war of attrition considerably favor Iran over Israel?
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These are just a few of the obvious questions. I haven't heard much discussion here on any of them. I'm not so much asking who supports Israel, nor who dislikes Iran. I'm asking for opinions on these various questions. I'd also like suggestions on thought-provoking other questions we maybe should be asking right now.
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