"Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows."
http://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/
Hadn't even looked at Iowa as a possible swing state. But looking at it now, you can see the possibility in the early voting data too. 10% majority of women. 20% independent, otherwise equally split.