2 or 3% lead for Harris, matching the likely figures for early voting (interpreting the female bias).
In terms of Dem vs Republican early voting numbers, the latter are doing well in WI, but you can't tell from the numbers how many are Nikki Haley Republicans (who might vote for Kamala) and how many are MAGAs. In MI and PA, Dems are doing extremely well.
At least half the vote will be complete before election day, which leaves a bit of leeway for the percentages to change. But the Marist poll suggests it's not so likely to shift much.
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