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Re: Kamala 49% vs Trump 44%

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 22 Sep 24 8:11 PM | 34 view(s)
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Msg. 54281 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 54279 by clo2)

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I agree. Her popularity is a key figure.

A 5% advantage is probably good for a win including narrow wins in the most important swing states.

Nudge her number up by 1 or 2 and leave his where it is or down 1 or 2 and she wins very comfortably.

There are enough polls showing these sorts of numbers that this poll probably reflects reality, roughly-speaking. She's really on the cusp of being exactly where I'd hope by election day.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Kamala 49% vs Trump 44%
By: clo2
in ALEA
Sun, 22 Sep 24 3:14 PM
Msg. 54279 of 54959

Lots to chew on with this poll, this stood out to me.

A historic jump in Harris' popularity
Beyond those issues and qualities, what also stands out in the poll is Harris’ increased popularity since her elevation to the top of the Democratic ticket.

In July, 32% of registered voters had a positive view of Harris, versus 50% who saw her in a negative light (-18 net rating) — almost identical to Biden’s rating.

But in this new poll, Harris is now at 48% positive, 45% negative (+3).

No major-party presidential candidate in the 35-year history of the NBC News poll has seen this kind of jump in popularity in an election.

more:
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/poll-newly-popular-harris-challenging-trump-change-rcna171308?


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