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Re: 51-46%, Harris-Trump, among all adults; 51-47% among registered voters; and 52-46% among likely voters.

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 15 Sep 24 6:07 PM | 44 view(s)
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Msg. 54189 of 54959
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His number is always around 47%. I wonder if his being battered in the debate will make a dent. I'm beginning to doubt it. I was hoping there may be a collapse. But you can batter Trump with a baseball bat and the jello of his support does nothing more than a bit of a wobble.




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Re: 51-46%, Harris-Trump, among all adults; 51-47% among registered voters; and 52-46% among likely voters.
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Sun, 15 Sep 24 5:50 PM
Msg. 54187 of 54959

Yep. From the weekend's polls, it looks to me like Kamala's lead is around 4% nationally by conventional polling methods. Hoping she's also savaging him in the swing states, with her far superior financial situation.

I wonder how well the pollsters pick up younger voters like the ones encouraged to register by Taylor Swift who use mobile phones. I suspect she can perhaps move the dial by 1-2% amongst people who are otherwise hardly engaged. Hence Republican commentators anger. But whether the polls pick up on her influence given the type of voters she speaks to I don't know.

And then there's the Dem ground game, which sounds far superior to Trump's.

Certainly, the enthusiasm for her candidacy is more like Obama's than Biden's.


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