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Re: Can we now safely say Russia is not a great power?

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 26 Mar 22 9:26 AM | 11 view(s)
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Msg. 45072 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 45050 by Cactus Flower)

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Not only that, but Putin's great propaganda victory, by which he persuaded people that Russia's conventional army was invincible and upon which many of his threats depended, is now completely shattered.

This is the same army that ended up drunk in Afghanistan. It can bully on a small scale but can't run a major conventional war against a determined enemy. Too many problems of trust, communication, logistics and training, leading to a demoralised, poor-performing military at the front-end.

Not only that, but its philosophy of taking a country down with its heavily-armoured units with air support from attack helicopters and jets thrusting aside less heavily-armed defenders turned out to be vulnerable to highly mobile defenders employing shoulder-mounted weapons such as NLAWs, Javelins and Stingers, who appear and disappear along side roads as the Russian army is stuck advancing along the major highways, and who attack Russian support vehicles every bit as much as its armour.

It's been a lesson. And thank goodness, one that Ukrainian democracy has taught the Russian autocrats and not vice versa.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Can we now safely say Russia is not a great power?
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Thu, 24 Mar 22 10:41 AM
Msg. 45050 of 54959

It has the artillery and missile category of weaponry, yes.

But its army has been exposed by Ukraine and looks obslescent to me. Its air force has failed to achieve aerial dominance. And I see no reason to presume its navy is any better. Nor does it seem capable of creating the logistical and communications support it would need.

Putin believed his own propaganda. Ukraine bet that it was a lie. Ukraine was right, I think.

To me, things now look like this. Against NATO, the Russian military would fail, hopelessly, in any conventional war. The only thing Putin has left is nuclear threats.


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