http://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2021/11/04/ouch-polling-group-that-called-va-race-right-on-the-nose-puts-bidens-approval-at-minus-19/
When it comes to the gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey, the Trafalgar Group is the polling group that got the closest:
InteractivePolls ~
2021 VA Gov race Final Result
(R) Youngkin 50.7% (+2.3)
(D) McAuliffe 48.5%
VA Gov Most Accurate Pollsters
1. Trafalgar (R), Nov 1 Poll
Youngkin +2.3% . No error
2. Insider Advantage (R) Nov 1
Youngkin +2 (D+0.3 error)
3. @Peoples_Pundit Nov 1
Youngkin +3 (R+0.7 error)
The Trafalgar Group ~ We were the only #Poll to show @PhilMurphyNJ in a close race with late deciders breaking against him.
As of this AM the race is still neck and neck.
The Trafalgar Group ~ Our @trafalgar_group #NJGov race #Poll
#PhilMurphy has 4.2% lead which may shrink based on late decider preferences.
49.4% @PhilMurphyNJ,
45.2% @Jack4NJ,
1.1% Third Party/Write-In,
4.3% Undecided,
Conducted 10/29-31 #NJpol
See Report: http://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/nj-gov-gen-1101
It’s been noticed that the same polling group also had bad news for the Biden White House:
The Partyman ~ The pollster who nailed the VA race down to the tenth of a percent also has Biden's approval at -19.
Not surprising at all.
Real Clear Politics has the Trafalgar number listed here.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html
President Biden Job Approval
Trafalgar: 10/19 - 10/21 / 1,083 Likely Voters / Approve = 39% / Disapprove = 58% / Spread = -19
With numbers like that it’s kind of amazing that the McAuliffe campaign even wanted Biden and Harris to campaign for him in Virginia.
The essential American soul is hard, isolate, stoic, and a killer. It has never yet melted. ~ D.H. Lawrence
| 
