Biden is ahead by a 52-44 percent margin.
....
“Biden is holding a substantial lead nationally, many votes are already cast, and there are few undecideds,” says Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the survey with Republican Daron Shaw. “It’s hard to see the national race shifting significantly in the closing days, but that doesn’t mean it’s impossible for Trump to again thread the needle on an Electoral College victory.”
The survey shows Trump is preferred by White men (+17 points), rural voters (+1
, and White evangelical Christians (+50). Those margins are lower than what he received in 2016. According to Pew Research Center validated voter data, he won White men by 30 points, rural voters by 25, and White evangelicals by 61.
Biden is the favorite among women (+17 points), suburban women (+29), Hispanics (+1, Blacks (+66), and voters under age 30 (+32). That is a mixed bag compared to Hillary Clinton’s 2016 support. She won women by 15, suburban women by 11, and voters under 30 by 30 -- but won Blacks by 85 points and Hispanics by 38.
Seniors backed Trump by a 9-point margin in 2016, yet favor Biden by 10 in the new survey.
Independents, a small subgroup, favor Biden by 54-32 percent -- a group Trump won by a single point last time.
“Biden has the advantage among key groups, especially seniors, suburbanites, and independents,” says Shaw. “Trump needs a few more points out of these groups to win re-election. But the main impediment is the stubborn stability of the race; it hasn’t changed much all year despite pandemics, economic collapses, and massive social unrest.”
Another big difference in this election is that voters find one of the candidates likeable. That stands in stark contrast to 2016 when voters viewed both Clinton and Trump negatively.
Biden has a net +11 personal rating: 55 percent view him favorably vs. 44 percent unfavorably.
For Trump, 44 percent view him positively and 55 percent negatively, putting him underwater by 11 points. Moreover, 48 percent have a “strongly” unfavorable opinion of him compared to 34 percent for Biden.
more:
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/poll-biden-trump-lead-narrows-slightly
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