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Re: Covid-19: UK could face 50,000 cases a day by October without action - Vallance

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 21 Sep 20 2:46 PM | 40 view(s)
Boardmark this board | The Trust Matrix 		Msg. 38747 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 38746 by clo)
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That sounds like a scare tactic. The big if is the thing that matters.

If the sun doesn't rise, the earth will die. Yes, but it is likely to do so.

Government scientists have been lousy at forecasting. I see people wearing masks and using soap, which was part of what brought the pandemic under control before.

The difficulty is the government employed magic thinking to restart schools, to chivvy people to go back to work and to encourage them to go on vacation overseas. The social distancing thing is missing. So numbers have risen.

Instead of encouraging these sorts of things, maybe figure ways to make working from home easier. It's going to be the new normal for a while.

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The above is a reply to the following message:
Covid-19: UK could face 50,000 cases a day by October without action - Vallance
By: clo in ALEA
Mon, 21 Sep 20 2:12 PM 		Msg. 38746 of 54959

Covid-19: UK could face 50,000 cases a day by October without action - Vallance

The UK could see 50,000 new coronavirus cases a day by mid-October without further action, the government's chief scientific adviser has warned.

Sir Patrick Vallance said that "would be expected to lead to about 200 deaths per day" a month after that.

The briefing at Downing St comes as Prime Minister Boris Johnson considers whether to introduce further measures in England.

On Sunday, a further 3,899 daily cases and 18 deaths were reported in the UK.

Speaking alongside the government's chief medical adviser, Prof Chris Whitty, Sir Patrick stressed the figures given were not a prediction, but added: "At the moment we think the epidemic is doubling roughly every seven days.

"If, and that's quite a big if, but if that continues unabated, and this grows, doubling every seven days... if that continued you would end up with something like 50,000 cases in the middle of October per day.

"Fifty-thousand cases per day would be expected to lead a month later, so the middle of November say, to 200-plus deaths per day.

"The challenge, therefore, is to make sure the doubling time does not stay at seven days.

more:
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-54234084?at_medium=custom7&at_custom2=facebook_page&at_custom3=BBC+News&at_custom1=%5Bpost+type%5D&at_custom4=12D6E26A-FBF5-11EA-A330-0D453A982C1E&at_campaign=64&fbclid=IwAR0A6l40OEMj7qgogUgAnOl9jtQTkYZt6eS_ceMWoBSN0tQG_1ZQWArzkJg&fbclid=IwAR0x5wz_2p6myAudti0JJ-kXDxfeiDBxhy0XftmFhgQdrbaQVLa14T7JgnY

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