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 Msg. #  Subject Posted by    Board    Date   
00564 DECOMPOSED --- US could be coronavirus-free by late September, scientists say
   I think we should believe what the CDC says, yes? Geez, I always &q... 		kathy_s16   6TH POPE   24 May 2020
 9:07 AM
00527 Re: MICRO, et al.... US could be coronavirus-free by late September, scientists say
   [img]https://www.stripersonline.com/surftalk/uploads/monthly_2017_12/j... 		ribit   6TH POPE   24 May 2020
 12:23 AM

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Re: MICRO, et al.... US could be coronavirus-free by late September, scientists say

By: Decomposed in 6TH POPE
Sat, 23 May 20 10:54 PM
Msg. 00516 of 60014
(This msg. is a reply to 00512 by kathy_s16)
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Angie:

Re: "I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO BELIEVE. I REALLY DON'T. "Ask yourself: In the 1957/58 pandemic, did the United States lock itself down to prevent spread the way it is locked down today? If not, do you think it is reasonable for your source to make the two sound comparable?

Also, the Mortality Ratio is the likelihood of dying if a disease is contracted. Before comparing the 1957/58 pandmic's deaths to this one's, we'd also need to know how many will catch SARS-CoV-2. The verdict is still out on that. The virus spreads rapidly with the average patient giving it to 5.7 others.

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article

Most flus do not spread rapidly, and the 1957/58 pandemic is no exception. Each person who caught it is thought to have given it to 1.07 others, making the disease just barely spreadable. (Below 1.0 and a disease dies out.)

https://bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12879-016-1716-7








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