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Revising my best case range

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 02 May 20 5:19 PM | 26 view(s)
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I think I had my best case US coronavirus mortality range as 75-90k. I am going to have to change that to 85-100k. It's not slowing down as fast as I hoped.

The new drug may slow things a bit. But at 65k total and 2k per day, it's hard not to expect the total to reach 85k in May.

Still trying to figure what is going on with the UK numbers, which look like New York's.

Why are some regions worse affected than others? Compare Greece and Italy as well. Greece is hardly affected. Italy a disaster.

Population density? Pollution?


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