multiplied by five.
We are looking at 20,000 deaths +/-, so long as we are willing to lockdown.
US is 100-200k.
Bad as these numbers are, they are negligible compared to what they might have been if we didn't respond as communities to delay transmission.
I should think it will take 3 months at a minimum to bleed the virus out of the population. People who successfully isolate will nevertheless run into the virus when buying food, and so on. But once we are on the downslope, then isolating smaller areas will be possible.
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